Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#233
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#189
Pace68.4#156
Improvement+0.5#159

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#233
Improvement-0.9#223

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#234
Improvement+1.4#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 40   @ Florida St. L 55-75 6%     0 - 1 -5.8 +6.3 +7.0
  Nov 13, 2010 4   @ Pittsburgh L 49-95 2%     0 - 2 -24.3 +9.7 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2010 224   @ Wyoming W 76-60 36%     1 - 2 +15.9 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2010 30   @ Missouri L 58-96 5%     1 - 3 -22.7 +6.4 +7.5
  Nov 23, 2010 336   Prairie View W 84-66 86%     2 - 3 +2.5 -7.1 -7.6
  Nov 24, 2010 256   Morgan St. W 59-52 58%     3 - 3 +1.3 -3.2 -2.2
  Dec 02, 2010 287   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-74 76%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -4.0 -5.2 -5.5
  Dec 04, 2010 301   Stetson L 64-74 79%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -22.3 -6.3 -6.5
  Dec 11, 2010 6   @ Purdue L 57-77 2%     4 - 5 +0.5 +9.5 +10.1
  Dec 14, 2010 5   @ Texas L 48-70 2%     4 - 6 -0.4 +9.6 +11.1
  Dec 18, 2010 151   Furman L 49-60 44%     4 - 7 -13.1 -1.9 -0.8
  Dec 29, 2010 38   @ Maryland L 62-85 6%     4 - 8 -8.8 +6.3 +7.0
  Dec 31, 2010 27   @ Kansas St. L 76-100 5%     4 - 9 -8.2 +8.0 +6.7
  Jan 05, 2011 254   @ Campbell W 57-55 45%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -0.5 -1.5 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2011 24   @ Belmont L 59-91 4%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -16.0 +7.4 +7.2
  Jan 10, 2011 161   @ Lipscomb L 76-80 25%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -0.7 +2.0 +1.2
  Jan 13, 2011 121   East Tennessee St. L 61-66 37%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -5.4 -0.3 -0.4
  Jan 15, 2011 319   South Carolina Upstate W 65-59 84%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -8.3 -7.1 -6.9
  Jan 20, 2011 322   @ Kennesaw St. W 71-56 67%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +6.8 -3.9 -3.5
  Jan 22, 2011 201   @ Mercer W 74-64 33%     8 - 12 5 - 4 +10.7 +0.5 +0.6
  Jan 26, 2011 173   Jacksonville L 62-63 OT 50%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -4.7 -2.2 -1.6
  Jan 29, 2011 254   Campbell L 66-76 69%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -18.9 -4.8 -4.5
  Feb 03, 2011 161   Lipscomb W 72-62 47%     9 - 14 6 - 6 +7.0 -2.0 -0.6
  Feb 05, 2011 24   Belmont L 67-69 11%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +7.7 +4.6 +5.0
  Feb 08, 2011 173   @ Jacksonville L 69-71 27%     9 - 16 6 - 8 +0.7 +1.4 +1.2
  Feb 11, 2011 319   @ South Carolina Upstate W 63-55 66%     10 - 16 7 - 8 +0.1 -4.1 -3.4
  Feb 13, 2011 121   @ East Tennessee St. L 57-80 18%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -17.1 +2.3 +2.6
  Feb 18, 2011 201   Mercer L 75-78 57%     10 - 18 7 - 10 -8.7 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 20, 2011 322   Kennesaw St. W 90-88 3OT 84%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -12.6 -7.3 -7.2
  Feb 24, 2011 301   @ Stetson W 80-77 58%     12 - 18 9 - 10 -2.9 -2.7 -3.1
  Feb 26, 2011 287   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 53-51 54%     13 - 18 10 - 10 -2.7 -3.1 -1.4
  Mar 03, 2011 173   Jacksonville W 68-64 38%     14 - 18 +3.5 -0.3 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2011 121   East Tennessee St. W 59-55 27%     15 - 18 +6.8 +1.1 +1.9
  Mar 05, 2011 24   Belmont L 46-87 7%     15 - 19 -28.1 +5.5 +5.3
Projected Record 15.0 - 19.0 10.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%